Who Is In The Lead For 2025. Kamala harris moved into a narrow lead in our final update, with her chance of winning rising from 50% to 56%. Updating average for each candidate in 2025 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

Trump will nominate the former new york congressman to lead the e.p.a., a position that is expected to be central to trump’s plans to dismantle landmark climate regulations. With no time left before the election, our model reacts sharply to the latest data.